538 nfl predictions.

Here's a google sheet that uses the exact formula for the 538 prediction game, since it seems like 538 is not running a game this year. You can copy it so you can edit it, share it with your friends and play along. For anyone that wants to play, copy "Template" to a new sheet and rename it to their name. You can enter your team choice and the ...

538 nfl predictions. Things To Know About 538 nfl predictions.

Weekly average differences between points won by our new QB-adjusted Elo and by readers in FiveThirtyEight's NFL prediction game, 2019 regular season and playoffs Week GamesWin Total: over 11.5 (-125) Make Playoffs: -600 Win Division: -180 Win Conference: +360 Win Super Bowl: +700 Of the top-tier teams (more than 10 wins projected), the Bills have the most favorable ...Oct 8, 2023 at 11:17 am ET • 3 min read USATSI The Week 5 NFL schedule features nine games with NFL spreads of four points or fewer. With oddsmakers expecting so many close battles, placing...What to know for NFL Week 3: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats for all 15 games 1y ESPN staff Inside the NFL's turf controversies, and why the World Cup plays a roleFeb 17, 2023 · Schedule. Standings. Stats. Teams. Depth Charts. Daily Lines. More. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most interesting ...

NFL Predictions. Thursday, October 4, 2018. Nudge. ... FiveThirtyEight's Elo model is in 909th place with 82.4 points. 📈 Our Elo model beat 60 percent of you last week. You picked up the most ...Football season begins and you’re ready to catch all of those thrilling games live, no matter where you are when they begin. Check out this guide to viewing NFL games online live, and don’t miss a single minute of this football season.Stats Teams Depth Charts Daily Lines More Top offenses and defenses? X factors to watch? Playoff and Super Bowl predictions? Mike Clay has everything to …

FiveThirtyEight's nfl picks, bets, and accuracy from Pickwatch. Gain access to the best sports predictions and insights in the industry with Pickwatch. See their straight up, against the spread, over/under, underdog and prop picks

FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Updated Nov. 5, 2022, at 11:22 PM. 2022 MLB Predictions Updated after every game. Standings Games PitchersPicks, tools and data that give you an edge in NFL survivor and knockout style pools. Go to Survivor Picks » Pick'em . Customized picks for NFL and college football pick'em contests (weekly and season long).NFL picks against the spread for Week 1. Game of Midweek: Lions at Chiefs (-6.5, 54.5 o/u) Thursday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. There'e plenty of playoff hype around the Lions as NFC North favorites ...FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.White consistently crushes the NFL as SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert in picks against the spread, and went 445-378-24 on his ATS NFL picks from 2017-21, which returned $2,542 to $100 players. He's ...

The others were the 2012 San Francisco 49ers, 2007 New England Patriots, 2002 Oakland Raiders and 1980 Raiders. Joining the 1981 49ers and 2013 Seattle Seahawks — admittedly good company!

Microsoft Cortana's nfl picks, bets, and accuracy from Pickwatch. Gain access to the best sports predictions and insights in the industry with Pickwatch. See their straight up, against the spread, over/under, underdog and prop picks

Brief background. If you ever checked out FiveThirtyEight’s predictions you probably came across their usage of an Elo rating system.While the wikipedia page is really the best starting point to learn about the background, in short, its a rating system for teams/players (originally designed for chess) based on head-to-head match-ups.Oct 1, 2023 · The model enters Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 167-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 21-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 ... An average team has an Elo rating of 1500 — so your Lions are not so hot. But it could be a lot worse. In 2009, the Lions got all the way down to a rating of 1223. Most NFL teams wind up in the ...https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2021-nfl-predictions/ Bills in simulations: 89% to make the playoffs - highest 79% to win division - highestWeek 2 should provide a few more intriguing windows into the N.F.L. as Lamar Jackson explores the limits of a newly built Ravens offense against the Bengals, who last week signed quarterback Joe ...Odds Shark’s NFL Bible. Odds Shark goes full beast mode when it comes to wagering on the NFL. We knock out NFL news the same way we would with our UFC Fight Analysis.It doesn’t matter if it’s the AFC, NFC or KFC, our professional pigskin reports are finger licking good. Be like Lynch and taste the rainbow this NFL season with Odds …

The model enters Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 167-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 21-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 ...21. Denver. -7.5. 74%. 24. How this works: This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. Our model uses Elo ratings (a measure of strength based on head-to-head results and quality of opponent) to calculate teams’ chances of winning their regular-season games and advancing to and through the ...Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver@natesilver538. Nate Silver is the founder and editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight and the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t ... Schedule. Standings. Stats. Teams. Depth Charts. Daily Lines. More. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most interesting ...The answer, as always, was that it depends on how you count. From 2001 to 2016, the Patriots’ average season-ending Elo rating was 1701, the best 16-season stretch in league history. But the best 17-season, 18-season and 19-season stretches belong to the San Francisco 49ers of the 1980s and ’90s. San Francisco’s Elo average from 1981 to ...Feb. 9, 2023, at 6:00 AM. The bets have been coming in fast and furious during this Super Bowl week. John Locher / AP Photo. This year's Super Bowl in Arizona will be the first ever played in a ...

Schedule. Standings. Stats. Teams. Depth Charts. Daily Lines. More. We asked 10 NFL analysts to weigh in on next season's Super Bowl winner, MVP candidates, breakout players and most interesting ...FiveThirtyEight's MLB forecast uses a pitcher-adjusted Elo model to project the winner of every game and the chances that each team will win the World Series. Updated Nov. 2, 2021, at 11:36 PM. 2021 MLB Predictions Updated after every game. Standings Games Pitchers

NFL Predictions 2023. 2023 NFL predictions from objective computer models, with game predictions, final record predictions and playoff odds. Updated today. Season: 2023. 2023; 2022; 2021; 2020; 2019; 2018; 2017; 2016; 2015; 2014; 2013; Week: As Of Today (Sun Oct 8) Preseason (Thu Sep 7) Before Week 2 (Thu Sep 14)The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.Brief background. If you ever checked out FiveThirtyEight’s predictions you probably came across their usage of an Elo rating system.While the wikipedia page is really the best starting point to learn about the background, in short, its a rating system for teams/players (originally designed for chess) based on head-to-head match-ups.Welcome to Pickwatch, the home of NFL expert picks. We track all the experts from ESPN, CBS, Profootballfocus and more and compare them for accuracy! ... Every Pick From Every NFL Expert. Home NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB. About. About Us; FAQ; Reveal the Best Experts. Get winning data led picks from industry leading experts Register Free. Pick ...In 2014, the Lions ranked among the NFL's top five defenses according to DVOA, 3 Expected Points and SRS — a stunning break with the franchise's dismal tradition. But the pressing question ...Nov 8, 2022. Where Candidates Who Deny The 2020 Election Results Are On The Ballot — And Where They Could Win. FiveThirtyEight staff. Nov 8, 2022. Explore The Ways Republicans Or Democrats Could Win The Midterms. By Ryan Best, Jay Boice, Aaron Bycoffe and Nate Silver. Nov 8, 2022. 2022 Election Forecast. Nov 5, 2022.Fortunes swung wildly during Week 14 of the NFL season, with a few games making a big dent in some teams' playoff hopes while boosting others. Three games gave us combined swings in playoff ...Buffalo Bills. Caesars Win Total: 10.5 (over -125) Brinson Projected Record: 12-5. Beat the Jets in Week 1 and the Bills have a real chance to rip off some wins. People are really down on Buffalo ...1-1. Sunday, Sept. 26 1 p.m. ET FOX NE -3. This is a third straight week on the road for the Saints. New Orleans played in Jacksonville for the season opener after Hurricane Ida made the league ...NFL predictions – 2022 receiving yardage leaders. Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings – 1,987 yards; Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals – 1,805 yards; Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams ...

Here's a look at the betting details and USA TODAY's NFL staff picks for the Panthers vs. Saints Week 18 game: Panthers at Saints odds, moneyline and over/under Spread: Saints (-3.5)

NFL (976 posts) NFL Elo Ratings (163) Kansas City Chiefs (114) San Francisco 49ers (78) Baltimore Ravens (58) New Orleans Saints (52) NFL Predictions (25) Get more FiveThirtyEight Store

Season. The top four teams qualify for next season's UEFA Champions League. The bottom three teams are relegated. Download this data. Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Statistical models by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. FiveThirtyEight's Premier League predictions.FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast Current as of Map Timestamp . Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast. Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither candidate currently has a 65% or ...Final record prediction: 9-8. The Browns will ultimately go as far as Deshaun Watson takes them in 2023. His first season in Cleveland was rough, completing just 58.2% of his passes for 1,102 ...UPDATE (Sept. 7, 2016; 12 p.m.): Our 2016 NFL Elo predictions follow the same methodology as our predictions from last year. Check out the article below for mor…A FiveThirtyEight Chat Filed under NFL Feb. 10, 2023 The Super Bowl Halftime Shows With The Most Star Power By Paroma Soni and Holly Fuong Filed under …Predictions about the future lives of humanity are everywhere, from movies to news to novels. Some of them prove remarkably insightful, while others, less so. Luckily, historical records allow the people of the present to peer into the past...Feb 2, 2023 · Forecasts have always been a core part of FiveThirtyEight’s mission. They force us (and you) to think about the world probabilistically, rather than in absolutes. And making predictions, whether we’re modeling a candidate’s chance of being elected or a team’s odds of making the playoffs, improves our understanding of the world by ... 100 Bold Predictions for the 2022 NFL Season. The Bills will be in Super Bowl LVII. Plus: Lamar Jackson is back in MVP talk, Gronk's final season is a good one, Daniel Jones wins an award, Sean ...Friday, January 27, 2023 It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Click the button below to take your shot. Play the game As a weekly...NFL Week 5 picks, predictions:Cowboys-49ers, Eagles-Rams, Chiefs-Vikings games to watch Monday Night Football prediction Green Bay Packers at Las Vegas Raiders, 5:15 p.m., ABC, ESPN, ESPN2, ESPN ...LOS ANGELES RAMS. Over/under 10.5 wins: Over. Even if they lose a tough opener against Buffalo, the defending champs have a clear path to the over: Go 5-1 in division, split the AFC West games and ...

It was the only time ever that all four divisional games were decided by 6 or fewer points. Salfino: After saying the wild-card week was the worst postseason week ever, this was the best in my ...NFL picks against the spread for Week 1. Game of Midweek: Lions at Chiefs (-6.5, 54.5 o/u) Thursday 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC. There'e plenty of playoff hype around the Lions as NFC North favorites ...Every forecast update is based on 20,000 simulations of the remaining season. Full methodology ». Design and development by Jay Boice. Statistical model by Nate Silver. FiveThirtyEight's 2019 college football predictions calculate each team's chances of winning its conference, making the playoff and winning a championship.Instagram:https://instagram. mandt routing number pacorley porter funeral home obituariessdn secondaryexacor underlayment Forecast from How this works: This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and updates after every game. Our traditional model uses Elo ratings (a measure of strength based on... yellowstone train station gifnashville hourly forecast FiveThirtyEight's 2019 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl. UPDATED Feb. 2, 2020, at 10:15 PM 2019 NFL Predictions mychart.baptisthealth.com Editor's Picks. 2023 NFL schedule release: Bold predictions, takeaways and revenge games for all 32 teams. 151d NFL Nation. Chiefs host Lions to open '23; 49ers back in Philly. 152d Adam Teicher.Based in part on the history of similar teams from throughout NFL history, 2 our preseason forecast model called for Kansas City to finish 10-7, with just a 66 percent chance of making it back to ...I love FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver is a fucking wizard of predictions. Statistically, his Elo model for NFL is probably the best freely available one you'll find. It uses a ton of information to try and factor out some of the noise you get in the NFL with so few games, and generally, I air with what he says.